Mets Playoff odds have increased…

Niko Goutakolis : Baseball Prospectus just published their latest PECOTA standings update. As you can see below, and here, the Mets are projected to win 84 games this year, and lose 78. This puts them at six games above 500, which means that they will improve two games between now and the end of the season. This seems very reasonable for the Mets, the team that is heavily plagued by big injuries, uncertainties, and a suspension.

The one thing this team needs to drop is the whole “If you would have asked us if we would take first place in March, anyone would have signed up for that” speech. It makes sense, and, well, it’s valid, but it’s an excuse to play bad and not take stock in the team. A fellow Mets blogger, Shannon from MetsPolice.com listed the stereotypes preventing the Mets front office from improving the team.

Now, I have faith in the Mets front office, I believe that the taste of success that the Mets had in April will give them motivation. Maybe we can build from within, after all, with all of those injuries and stressful moments, we sit at the top of the NL East. Imagine what we can do at full strength….

Here are the PECOTA standings from Baseball Prospectus:

Rnk	Team	Win	Loss	Expected Win Pct	Sim Win	Sim Loss	Div Pct	WC Pct	Playoff Pct	Playoff Pct (Adj)	WS Win Pct	1 Day Delta	7 Day Delta
1	Washington Nationals	30	27	.548	87.4	74.6	61.1%	10.6%	71.6%	66.6%	9.4%	-3.7%	-10.6%
2	New York Mets	31	27	.514	84.3	77.7	33.6%	12.8%	46.4%	39.9%	3.5%	5.8%	1.6%
3	Miami Marlins	24	33	.500	76.6	85.4	3.7%	2.3%	5.9%	4.7%	0.4%	1.1%	1.4%
4	Atlanta Braves	27	29	.450	74.7	87.3	1.6%	1.1%	2.7%	2.1%	0.1%	-1.4%	-0.6%
5	Philadelphia Phillies	22	36	.435	67.0	95.0	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%